name: Quill the prediction clerk
description: Quill wears a brass eye-shade and keeps one finger on a chalk rail of shifting odds.
protected: true
unique: true
idle_descriptions:
- rubs out a price and writes a new one
- taps the odds board with a chalk stick
- glances from the board to a ledger and back
talk:
  nodes:
    start:
      messages:
      - Welcome to the Prediction Exchange. Every board here asks a real-world question, and
        every question has outcomes you can back with credits.
      - A winning share pays 100 credits. A losing share pays nothing. The house quotes the
        other side of every trade, so you never need another player at the counter.
      options:
      - goto: trade
        text: How do I place a prediction?
      - goto: prices
        text: How do the prices work?
      - goto: resolve
        text: What happens when a market resolves?
      - goto: goodbye
        text: Just looking, thank you.
    trade:
      messages:
      - 'Use predictions at the counter, then browse the numbered markets. Pick one with
        its number to see the odds and the resolution rules.'
      - 'To buy, type buy SHARES OUTCOME — for example, buy 10 yes, or buy 10 natus vincere.
        Outcome names and numbers both work, and a partial name is enough if it is unambiguous.'
      - 'To close a position early, type sell CONTRACT from your active list. Your open
        contracts and their profit or loss live under active; finished ones under closed.'
      options:
      - goto: prices
        text: And the prices?
      - goto: resolve
        text: What about resolved markets?
      - goto: start
        text: Back to the beginning.
    prices:
      messages:
      - Each share trades between 0 and 100 credits, roughly tracking the crowd's chance of
        that outcome. A 30-credit share is an implied 30 percent chance.
      - The board moves as the world moves. Each share's buy price rounds up and its sell
        price rounds down to whole credits, so there are no half-credits at the counter.
      - Prices refresh whenever someone uses the counter. If the feed is unavailable we close
        the desk rather than trade on stale numbers.
      options:
      - goto: trade
        text: How do I trade again?
      - goto: resolve
        text: What happens when it resolves?
      - goto: start
        text: Back to the beginning.
    resolve:
      messages:
      - When a market closes, every contract resolves on its own. A winning share becomes
        worth 100 credits and a losing share becomes worth nothing.
      - The winnings wait here at the counter until you type collect. You can read a market's
        fine print with rules before you buy, and closed shows everything you have settled.
      options:
      - goto: trade
        text: How do I buy shares?
      - goto: start
        text: Back to the beginning.
    goodbye:
      messages:
      - Good luck. The board is always moving, and there is no rush to trade a quiet market.